Progresso vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 0
PRO
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 3
SAM
31%
24%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
PRO
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
MEZ
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ACA
4 - 2
PRO
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 2
RIM
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
RIM
2 - 2
BAG
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
RIM
0 - 1
ACP
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SER
1 - 0
RIM
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
RIM
1 - 1
LEN
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |