Progresso vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
PRO
35%
24%
42%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 2
ACA
24%
21%
55%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
COR
1 - 3
PRO
9%
15%
76%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
FOR
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
BAG
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 1
COR
42%
24%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
RIM
2 - 0
FIO
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 1
SAM
70%
19%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FIO
5 - 1
ACA
36%
23%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
COR
1 - 5
FIO
11%
19%
70%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |