Progresso vs Correggese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
47.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
PRO
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 4
FIO
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
PRO
35%
24%
42%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 2
ACA
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
COR
1 - 3
PRO
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 0
COR
15%
19%
65%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COR
4 - 0
COR
88%
9%
4%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 1
COR
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
SER
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ACA
3 - 0
COR
42%
22%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |