Progresso vs Bagnolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
PRO
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 0
LEN
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +5 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
2 - 1
PRO
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
4 - 2
BSD
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 1
PRO
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAG
2 - 0
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAG
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BAG
0 - 3
RAV
9%
20%
71%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
BAG
0 - 1
ACA
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ACP
0 - 0
BAG
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |