Progresso vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
54.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
PRO
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
USR
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
PRO
65%
20%
16%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
GHI
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
RIM
1 - 0
PRO
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ACP
3 - 1
COR
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 1
ACP
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
ACP
28%
24%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ACP
0 - 3
ACA
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
ACP
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |