SCD Milagrosa vs Sporting Guardés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Milagrosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ERI
5 - 2
MIL
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 0
MIL
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 4
PUE
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
MIL
62%
20%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting Guardés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
ALE
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TYD
2 - 1
GUA
52%
22%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
6 - 0
TOM
58%
21%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
MOS
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ERI
3 - 4
GUA
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |