SC 1903 Weimar vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC 1903 Weimar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
LAS
6 - 1
SCW
80%
12%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SCW
1 - 1
SGD
31%
22%
46%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SCW
4 - 2
BEP
45%
22%
33%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
WIS
8 - 0
SCW
75%
15%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
SCW
6 - 0
LIC
59%
19%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
ERF
2 - 1
BSS
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
BAB
4 - 2
ERF
38%
22%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
ERF
5 - 1
BSA
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
LAS
3 - 1
ERF
41%
22%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
ERF
4 - 1
HAL
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |