SC Velbert vs ASV Mettmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 1
VEL
16%
19%
65%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
SGU
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
KAP
3 - 1
VEL
17%
19%
63%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
SVW
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 2
VFB
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Mettmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ASM
2 - 1
DUS
28%
22%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
3 - 1
ASM
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ASM
0 - 1
1FC
8%
13%
79%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VJG
3 - 1
ASM
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ASM
2 - 3
VSA
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -3 |