SC Ulbra vs Vilhena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Ulbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GEN
2 - 4
ULB
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
ULB
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
ULB
1 - 1
POR
16%
22%
63%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
JAR
3 - 5
ULB
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
ULB
0 - 1
JAR
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 0
ROL
73%
17%
11%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
ULB
2 - 1
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 2
ULB
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
JAR
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 0
PIM
76%
14%
9%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | +1 |