Penedense vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
COR
3 - 1
PEN
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CRB
0 - 3
PEN
81%
13%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 0
CSE
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 1
COR
20%
22%
59%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
ASA
1 - 0
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 3
ASA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 0
CSA
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
CRB
1 - 1
MUR
77%
14%
9%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 0
IPA
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
IGA
1 - 1
MUR
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |