Penedense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CSE
4 - 1
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 2
CRB
14%
23%
63%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEN
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
ASA
17%
23%
60%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CDV
2 - 1
PEN
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 2
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CSA
0 - 1
ASA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CSE
1 - 1
CSA
49%
27%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 0
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |