Penedense vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
3 - 0
MUR
34%
24%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
COR
3 - 2
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ASA
4 - 3
PEN
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
2 - 0
CSE
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
DSA
2 - 1
PEN
35%
24%
40%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
CRB
2 - 0
CSE
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
CRB
1 - 0
ASA
65%
19%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CRB
1 - 1
COR
78%
15%
8%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 2
CRB
14%
19%
67%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
COR
3 - 2
CRB
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |