Penedense vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CEO
2 - 0
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
CDV
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CSE
0 - 2
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 2
COR
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ATA
3 - 2
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
COR
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
COR
4 - 0
CEO
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CDV
0 - 2
COR
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
COR
2 - 1
CSE
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
COR
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |