Penedense vs Bom Jesus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 0
COR
44%
24%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CSE
1 - 2
PEN
41%
23%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
ASA
2 - 2
PEN
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
COR
2 - 1
PEN
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bom Jesus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2005 |
ASA
3 - 1
BJE
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
BJE
1 - 5
COR
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2005 |
BJE
1 - 2
COR
40%
23%
36%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MUR
3 - 2
BJE
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BJE
3 - 2
CSE
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |