SC Paderborn U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+89%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
5º
4º
17
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 22 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
4º
|
81% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
76.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Paderborn U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 2
SCP
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 2
EIN
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
BOR
13%
17%
71%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +3 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 4
SCP
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 0
BOC
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 0
RWE
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WBR
6 - 2
ARM
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARM
0 - 1
ALA
38%
22%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARM
2 - 1
WUP
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 0
ARM
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |