Ortmann vs Zwettl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
WAI
0 - 2
SCO
49%
21%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 1
SCO
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
SCO
7 - 4
BFB
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 0
SCO
75%
14%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SCR
2 - 1
SCO
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Zwettl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
ZWE
0 - 1
SVR
34%
23%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
TEA
0 - 1
ZWE
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ZWE
2 - 1
MAN
81%
12%
8%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
ZWE
2 - 0
ARD
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
GAF
2 - 2
ZWE
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |