Ortmann vs St. Pölten II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
WAI
1 - 2
SCO
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SCO
0 - 2
SCU
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ZWE
1 - 1
SCO
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SCO
2 - 1
KOT
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
KRE
1 - 0
SCO
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
STP
7 - 1
SVR
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
ASV
3 - 3
STP
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
STP
5 - 0
MAN
88%
8%
3%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SPR
0 - 5
STP
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
STP
1 - 1
LAN
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |