Ortmann vs Spratzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
ARD
1 - 0
SCO
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
SCO
1 - 1
KOT
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GAF
0 - 0
SCO
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
SCO
3 - 1
WAI
27%
20%
53%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
LAN
3 - 1
SCO
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ROH
3 - 1
SPR
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SPR
1 - 2
ARD
18%
23%
59%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
KOT
2 - 0
SPR
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SPR
0 - 2
GAF
26%
23%
51%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
WAI
0 - 0
SPR
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |