Ortmann vs Kottingbrunn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
SCR
1 - 1
SCO
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
KRE
0 - 0
SCO
75%
16%
10%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 2
LEO
19%
23%
58%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
SCO
1 - 1
SCH
44%
24%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 2
ARD
23%
24%
54%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Kottingbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
ARD
2 - 1
KOT
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
KOT
2 - 0
SCH
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ASV
4 - 4
KOT
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
KOT
0 - 4
SVH
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SCR
1 - 2
KOT
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |