Ortmann vs Schrems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
7º
40
5º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 1
SCO
45%
23%
31%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LAN
5 - 0
SCO
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAI
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
SCO
0 - 2
KOT
25%
23%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SVR
2 - 1
SCO
36%
25%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Schrems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 0
ASV
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 0
KOT
19%
20%
62%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +3 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SVR
1 - 3
ASV
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 4
ZWE
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 1
ASV
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |