Ortmann vs Schrems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
SCO
3 - 1
LAN
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
SVR
1 - 0
SCO
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
SCO
3 - 2
SPR
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
ARD
0 - 0
SCO
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
SCO
2 - 0
ZWE
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Schrems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
ASV
1 - 0
SVR
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SPR
1 - 0
ASV
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 5
ARD
33%
23%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ZWE
4 - 2
ASV
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SCU
2 - 3
ASV
54%
21%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |