Ortmann vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
SVR
1 - 1
SCO
62%
19%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
SCO
2 - 1
ASV
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
KRE
2 - 0
SCO
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
SCO
2 - 4
ASV
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
SCO
3 - 1
LAN
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
ARD
2 - 0
SVR
52%
25%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
ASV
0 - 2
ARD
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
ARD
2 - 0
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
ARD
2 - 1
STP
32%
24%
45%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
KOT
1 - 3
ARD
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |