Campeonato de Portugal Grupo D. Jor. 23

Olhanense vs Vasco da Gama analysis

Olhanense Vasco da Gama
28 ELO 35
-5.8% Tilt -13.9%
19201º General ELO ranking 7026º
271º Country ELO ranking 137º
ELO win probability
35.9%
Olhanense
24.3%
Draw
39.8%
Vasco da Gama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
Olhanense
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.8%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olhanense
-13%
-16%
Vasco da Gama

Points and table prediction

Olhanense
Their league position
Vasco da Gama
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
13º
14º
13º
36
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atlético CP
52
52
100%
Lusitano Évora 1911
51
51
100%
Juventude Évora
46
46
100%
Rabo Peixe
45
45
100%
Imortal DC
38
41
77%
Fabril Barreiro
39
39
59.5%
Vasco da Gama
36
37
19.5%
Serpa
10º
33
36
77%
Praiense
34
35
15%
Oriental Dragon
35
35
10º
47%
Esperança de Lagos
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Angrense
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Olhanense
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Ferreiras
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Olhanense
Vasco da Gama
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Olhanense
Vasco da Gama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olhanense
Olhanense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
ORI
Oriental Dragon
1 - 0
Olhanense
OLH
62%
20%
18%
30 36 6 0
04 Mar. 2023
FER
Ferreiras
0 - 1
Olhanense
OLH
41%
25%
34%
28 26 2 +2
26 Feb. 2023
OLH
Olhanense
1 - 2
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
33%
24%
43%
30 36 6 -2
19 Feb. 2023
RAB
Rabo Peixe
0 - 1
Olhanense
OLH
68%
19%
13%
28 41 13 +2
12 Feb. 2023
OLH
Olhanense
1 - 0
Angrense
ANG
43%
24%
33%
27 31 4 +1

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
41%
24%
36%
34 37 3 0
05 Mar. 2023
RAB
Rabo Peixe
4 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
48%
26%
26%
36 38 2 -2
26 Feb. 2023
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 0
Angrense
ANG
64%
20%
16%
35 29 6 +1
19 Feb. 2023
ATL
Atlético CP
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
59%
22%
19%
36 39 3 -1
12 Feb. 2023
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Serpa
SER
40%
25%
36%
36 38 2 0
X