SC NEC vs LONGA '30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SCN
3 - 3
WOE
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SCN
3 - 2
BEM
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TVC
0 - 1
SCN
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SCN
1 - 2
AWC
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GER
2 - 2
SCN
30%
25%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LON
4 - 1
ORI
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TVC
2 - 6
LON
31%
21%
48%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LON
3 - 4
DEZ
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
LON
31%
23%
47%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LON
3 - 1
WSV
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |