SC NEC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
HOO
1 - 1
SCN
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SCN
0 - 1
JUL
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SWZ
2 - 0
SCN
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SCN
5 - 0
RIG
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SCN
5 - 1
LON
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 1
JUL
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 3
SWZ
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RIG
0 - 2
ALC
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 1
LON
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BEQ
0 - 2
ALC
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |