Mils vs Wacker Innsbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
8º
45
3º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SVI
3 - 0
SCM
15%
16%
69%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SCM
1 - 3
FCV
66%
17%
18%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
6 - 2
WBO
81%
12%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SVM
3 - 5
SCM
31%
21%
49%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
4 - 2
FCK
70%
15%
14%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wacker Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 1
KIR
81%
14%
5%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KEM
2 - 1
WIN
8%
16%
75%
|
62 | 25 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
4 - 0
STJ
81%
15%
5%
|
61 | 21 | 40 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 1
VOL
80%
15%
5%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
WIN
5%
12%
83%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |