Mils vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
STJ
1 - 2
SCM
33%
22%
46%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
IAC
3 - 2
SCM
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
SCM
5 - 2
FCV
74%
15%
12%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SCM
4 - 0
SVZ
93%
5%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VOL
4 - 1
SCM
40%
21%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
KIR
0 - 2
VOL
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
KIR
0 - 0
MOT
18%
19%
64%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
KUN
3 - 0
KIR
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SPG
4 - 0
KIR
47%
21%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
KIR
4 - 2
SCM
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |