Jaraguá vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
JAR
39%
25%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
JAR
1 - 2
FFC
22%
24%
54%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FFC
1 - 1
JAR
66%
20%
14%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
JAR
0 - 0
POR
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GIO
4 - 2
JAR
71%
18%
12%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 0
GUA
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CFC
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 1
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
MET
50%
23%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |