Jaraguá vs Atlético Cerrado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
INH
1 - 0
JAR
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ANA
1 - 1
JAR
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 1
ITU
21%
25%
55%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 1
ATB
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BLU
3 - 0
JAR
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Cerrado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAC
2 - 2
AEE
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
APA
0 - 0
CAC
48%
22%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
GOI
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
INT
5 - 1
CAC
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAC
0 - 3
TOC
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |