SC Guaraní vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
SCG
17%
22%
62%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 1
ARA
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 1
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
ARR
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 0
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
DEP
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 2
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
POR
0 - 4
LAR
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |