SC Freiburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
STP
2 - 2
SCF
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
LEV
2 - 2
SCF
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SCF
3 - 0
MON
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SCF
1 - 0
HSV
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
HAN
3 - 0
SCF
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
OFC
0 - 2
FCN
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
FCN
0 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 1
FCN
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
FCN
3 - 1
HAN
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
HOF
1 - 1
FCN
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |