Oberliga Mittelrhein Round 18

Fortuna Köln II vs SpVgg Frechen analysis

Fortuna Köln II SpVgg Frechen
41 ELO 40
6% Tilt 13.6%
5500º General ELO ranking 4678º
278º Country ELO ranking 222º
ELO win probability
47.4%
Fortuna Köln II
23.9%
Draw
28.7%
SpVgg Frechen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln II
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.8%
Win probability
SpVgg Frechen
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Köln II
-53%
+21%
SpVgg Frechen

Points and table prediction

Fortuna Köln II
Their league position
SpVgg Frechen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
15º
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Hohkeppel
65
69
100%
VfL Vichttal
58
64
83.5%
Bonner SC
56
62
60%
SpVgg Frechen
55
61
62%
Bergisch Gladbach
52
58
84%
Siegburger SV 04
39
45
97%
Fortuna Köln II
36
42
78.5%
Konigsdorf
34
38
39%
Hennef 05
10º
32
38
36%
Borussia Freialdenhoven
33
37
10º
17.5%
Hürth
11º
32
36
11º
36.5%
SpVg Porz 1919
12º
31
35
12º
47.5%
FV Endenich
13º
23
27
13º
61.5%
Union Schafhausen
14º
23
27
14º
63%
Germania Teveren
15º
18
21
15º
74%
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
16º
0
14
16º
76%
Expected probabilities
Fortuna Köln II
SpVgg Frechen
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
97.5% 100%
Relegation
2.5% 0%

ELO progression

Fortuna Köln II
SpVgg Frechen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Köln II
Fortuna Köln II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
HIL
Hilden
1 - 3
Fortuna Köln II
SCF
56%
22%
23%
40 48 8 0
10 Dec. 2023
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
0 - 3
Fortuna Köln II
SCF
53%
22%
25%
38 42 4 +2
03 Dec. 2023
SCF
Fortuna Köln II
0 - 0
Siegburger SV 04
SIE
61%
19%
20%
38 34 4 0
19 Nov. 2023
SCF
Fortuna Köln II
1 - 1
VfL Vichttal
VFL
24%
23%
53%
37 47 10 +1
12 Nov. 2023
FVE
FV Endenich
2 - 2
Fortuna Köln II
SCF
10%
15%
75%
37 21 16 0

Matches

SpVgg Frechen
SpVgg Frechen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
SPF
SpVgg Frechen
2 - 2
KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC
27%
23%
50%
40 48 8 0
03 Feb. 2024
SCH
Schonnebeck
3 - 0
SpVgg Frechen
SPF
46%
23%
31%
41 40 1 -1
31 Jan. 2024
SFB
SF Baumberg
1 - 3
SpVgg Frechen
SPF
65%
19%
17%
40 47 7 +1
28 Jan. 2024
HIL
Hilden
1 - 4
SpVgg Frechen
SPF
59%
22%
20%
40 48 8 0
10 Dec. 2023
SPF
SpVgg Frechen
6 - 0
SpVg Porz 1919
SPV
75%
15%
11%
40 26 14 0