Fortuna Köln II vs Pesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
54%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 1
SCF
63%
18%
18%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
WES
2 - 1
SCF
52%
20%
28%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SCF
0 - 1
BFR
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
WEG
2 - 0
SCF
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
SCF
3 - 4
VIA
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
WES
1 - 1
PES
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PES
2 - 0
WEG
14%
18%
69%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +4 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
DUR
4 - 1
PES
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PES
3 - 1
BWF
58%
20%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
H05
2 - 2
PES
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |