Fortuna Köln II vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
13º
12º
35
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 57% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 43% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PES
1 - 2
SCF
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 2
KON
55%
20%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 1
KAP
41%
23%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
VFL
4 - 0
SCF
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 1
FVE
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HUR
0 - 0
H05
30%
22%
47%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
USC
1 - 0
HUR
35%
22%
44%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 0
KAR
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DUR
4 - 0
HUR
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
HUR
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |