SC Fortuna Köln II vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
53.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
7º
32
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 4
SCF
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
BFR
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 4
SCF
31%
22%
48%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
5 - 1
USC
34%
21%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 0
SCF
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
H05
4 - 1
SPV
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 5
H05
13%
17%
70%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
H05
1 - 2
GET
77%
14%
10%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KON
1 - 1
H05
22%
19%
59%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
H05
0 - 5
SVE
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |