SC Emmen vs AS Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
GOL
2 - 1
SCE
39%
21%
40%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
SCE
2 - 1
LOC
16%
17%
67%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +3 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SCE
0 - 3
BRU
30%
21%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LAC
1 - 0
SCE
69%
16%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SCE
1 - 8
BUO
24%
20%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MEN
2 - 1
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ASC
3 - 3
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +9 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUG
18%
20%
61%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 4
LUZ
13%
17%
71%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
VED
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |