Douai vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
DOU
0 - 6
SED
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 2
DOU
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
DOU
1 - 3
LIL
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ROY
2 - 1
DOU
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DOU
2 - 1
RAC
17%
24%
59%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | +5 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
ESW
0 - 0
ARR
45%
28%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 1
SED
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 0
ARR
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ARR
4 - 1
MEZ
77%
16%
8%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
ARR
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |