SC Bruhl vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Bruhl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SCB
3 - 1
STA
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
BIE
3 - 0
SCB
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WOH
1 - 1
SCB
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SCB
0 - 2
CHI
23%
25%
51%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 0
SCB
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
KRI
0 - 2
FCA
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 3
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
FCA
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIN
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 1
LOC
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |