Landesliga Bayern - Südwest round 17

SC Aufkirchen vs VfB Durach analysis

SC Aufkirchen VfB Durach
14 ELO 25
5.8% Tilt -2.1%
40656º General ELO ranking 42510º
1771º Country ELO ranking 2025º
ELO win probability
22.2%
SC Aufkirchen
21.4%
Draw
56.4%
VfB Durach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
SC Aufkirchen
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
56.4%
Win probability
VfB Durach
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Aufkirchen
+136%
-18%
VfB Durach

ELO progression

SC Aufkirchen
VfB Durach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Aufkirchen
SC Aufkirchen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2023
TSV
TSV Aindling
2 - 1
SC Aufkirchen
SCA
75%
15%
10%
15 24 9 0
08 Oct. 2023
SCA
SC Aufkirchen
2 - 2
TSV Jetzendorf
TSV
40%
21%
39%
15 17 2 0
03 Oct. 2023
SCO
SC Oberweikertshofen
0 - 4
SC Aufkirchen
SCA
76%
14%
10%
12 19 7 +3
30 Sep. 2023
SCA
SC Aufkirchen
0 - 2
FC Ehekirchen
FCE
22%
20%
58%
13 20 7 -1
23 Sep. 2023
KEM
Kempten
3 - 0
SC Aufkirchen
SCA
82%
12%
7%
14 25 11 -1

Matches

VfB Durach
VfB Durach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2023
DUR
VfB Durach
4 - 0
TV Erkheim
ERK
67%
17%
16%
24 19 5 0
07 Oct. 2023
EKA
Eintracht Karlsfeld
1 - 2
VfB Durach
DUR
59%
20%
21%
23 25 2 +1
30 Sep. 2023
SCH
Schwabmünchen
2 - 1
VfB Durach
DUR
49%
22%
29%
23 22 1 0
22 Sep. 2023
DUR
VfB Durach
2 - 0
VfL Kaufering
VFL
80%
12%
8%
24 14 10 -1
16 Sep. 2023
FSP
FSV Pfaffenhofen
1 - 1
VfB Durach
DUR
26%
22%
52%
24 17 7 0