Saksan vs Real Succes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
1º
4
10º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 1 |
12º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saksan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FLA
4 - 7
SAX
30%
22%
47%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
SAX
5 - 0
FST
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCO
0 - 3
SAX
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 1
SAX
64%
18%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
REA
0 - 5
SAX
18%
18%
64%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
REA
1 - 2
GAG
7%
14%
79%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
REA
1 - 2
FCO
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 5
REA
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
REA
1 - 5
FST
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
REA
0 - 5
SAX
18%
18%
64%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |