Sauleda vs Bellcaire 2012 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
+221%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sauleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PON
5 - 1
SAU
55%
19%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAU
3 - 1
JAF
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAU
67%
17%
16%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 8
SAU
37%
21%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAU
4 - 1
PAT
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bellcaire 2012
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 2
JAF
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
PON
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 1
PAT
63%
19%
19%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SCO
3 - 0
BEL
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -3 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
QUA
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |