FC Saturn vs Spartak Moskva II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
12º
8º
35
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 67 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 57 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 55 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 48 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 44 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 39 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 38 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 30 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 29 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 19 |
15º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
ZSP
0 - 2
SAT
16%
20%
64%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SAT
6 - 0
FYK
87%
10%
4%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FBK
1 - 0
SAT
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SAT
0 - 0
TOR
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TVE
0 - 2
SAT
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
SPA
2 - 2
LUK
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ZEN
0 - 2
SPA
20%
23%
58%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPA
2 - 0
FKK
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
DVO
0 - 0
SPA
14%
20%
67%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 1
FKI
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |