Saturn-2 vs Avangard Podolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saturn-2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
KOS
2 - 2
FKS
34%
27%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
LOK
1 - 1
KOS
65%
20%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
FAK
0 - 3
KOS
70%
20%
10%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
KOS
0 - 2
AVA
16%
24%
60%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
KOS
2 - 0
FKG
16%
24%
61%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +4 |
Matches
Avangard Podolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
ZNA
1 - 2
APO
16%
23%
61%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
APO
5 - 0
NIM
75%
16%
8%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 4
APO
25%
26%
50%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
ZVE
0 - 1
APO
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
APO
3 - 0
FKS
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |