Sarreguemines vs Forbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SAI
2 - 4
SAR
65%
20%
16%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 4
AUX
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 69 | 39 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 0
FCS
47%
23%
29%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ILL
1 - 2
SAR
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 1
SAR
13%
18%
69%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SAI
3 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
ILL
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 3
RED
10%
20%
70%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AMN
2 - 2
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
BIE
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |