Sarnese vs Sporting Fulgor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 3
SAR
66%
21%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 2
FBC
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 2
SAR
66%
21%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 3
AEE
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ROC
0 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SFM
2 - 2
POM
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RAA
1 - 1
SFM
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SFM
0 - 3
AUD
7%
13%
80%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
RPO
2 - 2
SFM
76%
14%
9%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |