Sarnese vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAV
3 - 0
SAR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
5 - 0
SFM
81%
13%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 3
SAR
66%
21%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 2
FBC
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 2
SAR
66%
21%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 3
POM
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RAA
2 - 2
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 3
AUD
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RPO
2 - 0
GRA
59%
20%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
ASD
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |