Sarnese vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 0
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
REG
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
AGR
3 - 0
SAR
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAR
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
SCO
80%
13%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
GEL
3 - 0
RAA
27%
27%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 2
GEL
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
GEL
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 2
REG
23%
25%
53%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
AGR
1 - 1
GEL
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |