Sarnese vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 0
SAR
82%
13%
5%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 2
ASD
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SSM
4 - 5
SAR
53%
23%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 2
TUR
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 2
SAR
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 2
RPO
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 1
RAA
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TUR
1 - 1
AUD
16%
22%
63%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 1
RPO
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 2
AUD
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |