Sarnen vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
HER
0 - 2
SAR
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 4
BUO
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 0
SAR
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
4 - 0
RUS
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GCB
0 - 2
SAR
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
WIL
5 - 2
GUN
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 5
HER
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BUO
6 - 2
WIL
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 2
TAV
18%
21%
60%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 2
WIL
78%
14%
9%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |