Sarnen vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 3
SAR
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 2
LOC
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 2
SAR
50%
24%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
5 - 2
FCA
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GOL
5 - 0
SAR
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
BRU
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 1
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
ASC
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LOC
1 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
NOV
58%
19%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |